Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.109334 0.126371 0.144956 0.166702 0.191418 0.218602 0.250732
2024-12-22 0.081109 0.103102 0.129202 0.162337 0.203145 0.251615 0.313390
2024-12-29 0.067170 0.092803 0.125537 0.170106 0.228859 0.303277 0.404224
2025-01-05 0.054994 0.081967 0.118773 0.172117 0.246797 0.346853 0.490109
2025-01-12 0.044195 0.070690 0.109123 0.168109 0.255306 0.378172 0.562738
2025-01-19 0.036529 0.062355 0.101977 0.166030 0.265465 0.412013 0.641704
2025-01-26 0.032916 0.059512 0.102379 0.174884 0.292307 0.472163 0.764455
2025-02-02 0.029719 0.056709 0.102257 0.182595 0.317865 0.532478 0.892912
2025-02-09 0.024883 0.050177 0.094905 0.177213 0.321317 0.558110 0.968973
2025-02-16 0.021508 0.045671 0.090300 0.175707 0.330696 0.593664 1.063655
2025-02-23 0.018306 0.040907 0.084479 0.171115 0.333900 0.618765 1.142570
2025-03-02 0.015757 0.036988 0.079629 0.167561 0.338311 0.645929 1.226835
2025-03-09 0.014218 0.034975 0.078319 0.170824 0.356081 0.699004 1.362789
2025-03-16 0.012135 0.031388 0.073290 0.166029 0.357885 0.723248 1.448934
2025-03-23 0.011382 0.030722 0.074311 0.173777 0.385207 0.797465 1.633964
2025-03-30 0.010268 0.028977 0.072714 0.175730 0.400923 0.850796 1.783787
2025-04-06 0.008889 0.026302 0.068600 0.171593 0.403404 0.878301 1.885701
2025-04-13 0.007824 0.024226 0.065562 0.169447 0.409817 0.914069 2.006681
2025-04-20 0.007497 0.024100 0.067229 0.178453 0.441660 1.004535 2.245259
2025-04-27 0.007126 0.023781 0.068361 0.186301 0.471644 1.093470 2.487306
2025-05-04 0.006177 0.021569 0.064286 0.180814 0.470297 1.115462 2.590671
2025-05-11 0.005514 0.020086 0.061909 0.179278 0.478029 1.157688 2.740272
2025-05-18 0.004815 0.018331 0.058504 0.174599 0.477616 1.181695 2.851933